Shifting Economic Confidence Indicators
What is this
This trend focuses on the analysis of shifting economic confidence indicators as provided by bodies such as the OECD. It highlights variations in business and consumer confidence across major economies, notably the United Kingdom and the United States.
Why it matters
Economic confidence indicators offer a snapshot of business sentiment and can have broad implications for investment cycles, monetary policy, and market volatility. In times of economic uncertainty, these indicators serve as critical signals to preempt market shifts and adjust investment strategies accordingly.
Investment angle
Investors can use this information to adjust portfolios, such as reallocating assets towards defensive stocks or safe-haven instruments during periods of low business confidence. Alternatively, traders might develop macroeconomic strategies or hedge funds that capitalize on volatility driven by these confidence shifts.
Useful as a macroeconomic signal tool rather than a standalone asset; investability: 4/10.
History
| date | signals | new | substance |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-02 | 7 | 100% | |
| 2026-04-12 | 16 | +9 | 100% |
| 2026-04-21 | 73 | +57 | 100% |
| 2026-04-29 | 225 | +152 | 100% |
| 2026-05-08 | 263 | +38 | 100% |
| 2026-05-19 | 279 | +16 | 100% |
| 2026-05-28 | 293 | +14 | 100% |
| 2026-06-05 | 303 | +10 | 100% |
| 2026-06-14 | 316 | +13 | 100% |
| 2026-06-23 | 328 | +12 | 100% |
| 2026-07-02 | 354 | +26 | 100% |
| 2026-07-10 | 367 | +13 | 99% |
| 2026-07-19 | 391 | +24 | 99% |
| 2026-07-28 | 415 | +24 | 99% |
Evidence
- 2026-07-28FREDFRED S&P 500 Index (SP500): 7413.1800000000 · detail
- 2026-07-27FREDFRED AAA Corporate OAS (BAMLC0A1CAAA): 0.45 · detail
- 2026-07-27FREDFRED IG Corporate Master OAS (BAMLC0A0CM): 0.80 · detail
- 2026-07-27FREDFRED US Economic Policy Uncertainty (USEPUINDXD): 214.75000 · detail
- 2026-07-25FREDFRED S&P 500 Index (SP500): 7411.9800000000 · detail
- 2026-07-24FREDFRED AAA Corporate OAS (BAMLC0A1CAAA): 0.43 · detail
- 2026-07-24FREDFRED S&P 500 Index (SP500): 7408.3000000000 · detail
- 2026-07-24FREDFRED US Economic Policy Uncertainty (USEPUINDXD): 162.23000 · detail
- 2026-07-24FREDFRED IG Corporate Master OAS (BAMLC0A0CM): 0.79 · detail
- 2026-07-23FREDFRED S&P 500 Index (SP500): 7498.9600000000 · detail
- 2026-07-23FREDFRED US Economic Policy Uncertainty (USEPUINDXD): 117.91000 · detail
- 2026-07-23FREDFRED IG Corporate Master OAS (BAMLC0A0CM): 0.78 · detail
- 2026-07-23FREDFRED AAA Corporate OAS (BAMLC0A1CAAA): 0.41 · detail
- 2026-07-22FREDFRED US Economic Policy Uncertainty (USEPUINDXD): 605.19000 · detail
- 2026-07-22FREDFRED IG Corporate Master OAS (BAMLC0A0CM): 0.78 · detail
- 2026-07-22FREDFRED AAA Corporate OAS (BAMLC0A1CAAA): 0.41 · detail
- 2026-07-22FREDFRED S&P 500 Index (SP500): 7509.2000000000 · detail
- 2026-07-21FREDFRED S&P 500 Index (SP500): 7443.28 · detail
- 2026-07-21FREDFRED IG Corporate Master OAS (BAMLC0A0CM): 0.78 · detail
- 2026-07-21FREDFRED US Economic Policy Uncertainty (USEPUINDXD): 367.08000 · detail