Shifting Economic Confidence Indicators
What is this
This trend focuses on the analysis of shifting economic confidence indicators as provided by bodies such as the OECD. It highlights variations in business and consumer confidence across major economies, notably the United Kingdom and the United States.
Why it matters
Economic confidence indicators offer a snapshot of business sentiment and can have broad implications for investment cycles, monetary policy, and market volatility. In times of economic uncertainty, these indicators serve as critical signals to preempt market shifts and adjust investment strategies accordingly.
Investment angle
Investors can use this information to adjust portfolios, such as reallocating assets towards defensive stocks or safe-haven instruments during periods of low business confidence. Alternatively, traders might develop macroeconomic strategies or hedge funds that capitalize on volatility driven by these confidence shifts.
Useful as a macroeconomic signal tool rather than a standalone asset; investability: 4/10.
History
| date | signals | new | substance |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-02 | 7 | 100% | |
| 2026-04-13 | 16 | +9 | 100% |
| 2026-04-23 | 81 | +65 | 100% |
| 2026-05-03 | 251 | +170 | 100% |
| 2026-05-15 | 273 | +22 | 100% |
| 2026-05-25 | 288 | +15 | 100% |
| 2026-06-04 | 301 | +13 | 100% |
| 2026-06-14 | 316 | +15 | 100% |
| 2026-06-24 | 331 | +15 | 100% |
| 2026-07-04 | 356 | +25 | 100% |
| 2026-07-14 | 377 | +21 | 99% |
| 2026-07-24 | 410 | +33 | 99% |
| 2026-08-03 | 445 | +35 | 99% |
| 2026-08-13 | 477 | +32 | 99% |
Evidence
- 2026-08-13FREDFRED S&P 500 Index (SP500): 7748.5000000000 · detail
- 2026-08-12FREDFRED US Economic Policy Uncertainty (USEPUINDXD): 159.13000 · detail
- 2026-08-12FREDFRED AAA Corporate OAS (BAMLC0A1CAAA): 0.41 · detail
- 2026-08-12FREDFRED IG Corporate Master OAS (BAMLC0A0CM): 0.79 · detail
- 2026-08-12FREDFRED S&P 500 Index (SP500): 7728.2000000000 · detail
- 2026-08-11FREDFRED US Economic Policy Uncertainty (USEPUINDXD): 253.38000 · detail
- 2026-08-11FREDFRED AAA Corporate OAS (BAMLC0A1CAAA): 0.40 · detail
- 2026-08-11FREDFRED IG Corporate Master OAS (BAMLC0A0CM): 0.78 · detail
- 2026-08-11FREDFRED S&P 500 Index (SP500): 7753.1100000000 · detail
- 2026-08-10FREDFRED AAA Corporate OAS (BAMLC0A1CAAA): 0.39 · detail
- 2026-08-10FREDFRED IG Corporate Master OAS (BAMLC0A0CM): 0.78 · detail
- 2026-08-10FREDFRED US Economic Policy Uncertainty (USEPUINDXD): 234.17000 · detail
- 2026-08-08FREDFRED S&P 500 Index (SP500): 7757.6400000000 · detail
- 2026-08-07FREDFRED IG Corporate Master OAS (BAMLC0A0CM): 0.78 · detail
- 2026-08-07FREDFRED S&P 500 Index (SP500): 7709.9600000000 · detail
- 2026-08-07FREDFRED Unemployment Rate (UNRATE): 4.1 · detail
- 2026-08-07FREDFRED US Economic Policy Uncertainty (USEPUINDXD): 173.93000 · detail
- 2026-08-07FREDFRED AAA Corporate OAS (BAMLC0A1CAAA): 0.39 · detail
- 2026-08-06GDELT ProjectIMF一季两度下调预期 , 欧元区2026年增速降至0 . 9 %, 多重逆风削弱欧洲复苏 · detail
- 2026-08-06FREDFRED S&P 500 Index (SP500): 7723.5500000000 · detail